Which Level of Stock Mastery Are You at?

Which Level of Stock Mastery Are You at?

Not so long ago, I went to have dinner with some of my friends.

One of them asked me how I was doing, and for a while the topic fell on stock investing – because that’s what I do.

The way my friends reacted reminds me of the four levels of mastery.

To master something you go through four levels, from completely ignorant to a highly competent master. 

Let me tell you about this dinner talk we had and let me show you through my friends what the four levels are: 

1. Unconscious Incompetence

Christina gazes out of the window the moment she hears me use the word “stock market”. She is polite about it, but I can almost hear her thinking ‘oh no, here she goes again’.

She waits a moment to judge if I am passing on to more entertaining subjects and after half a minute, she gives up and takes out her phone to look at Instagram pictures.

She’s a social worker who works with troubled teens. She makes her monthly salary, and it covers the basic cost for her small family and a yearly trip to a camping site in Italy.

Christina has no idea who Warren Buffett is, and no idea about the power of compounding.

She thinks she has a retirement savings account somewhere, but honestly, she isn’t sure. 

She doesn’t care that she doesn’t know. 

It’s not important to her because she has no idea what it is.

And the other way around: she doesn’t know much, because it’s not important to her. 

She will probably never break out of that.

I can easily write about her, because there is no chance that she will find her way to this blog post. 

2. Conscious Incompetent

Lena leans forward and listens with interest when the topic falls on stock investing.

“It’s really great that you guys have such a good return. Well done,” she says.

Lena studied business and finance at business school, so she is comfortable with numbers. 

She knows who invests her retirement account, but she doesn’t know what it’s invested in.

She also knows who Warren Buffett is, and she’s aware of the power of compounding. She knows that it’s important to invest and that saving is not enough. 

Yet, she has never bought a single stock in her life, simply because she hasn’t come around to doing it. 

It’s just one of those things on the to-do list with ‘take tennis lessons’ and ‘learn Japanese’.   

3. Consciously Competent 

“Yeah, I bought some Apple in 2018 too, but I sold it last week. A 130 pct. return,” says Bernadette.

She has been a stock investor for many years. She mainly invests in index funds with the method called dollar cost averaging which means she invests the same amount in the same fund every month.

She also invests in a few individual companies, and she is generally knowledgeable about the stock market.

She knows exactly what her retirement savings are invested in because she’s investing it herself. She also manages her children’s savings account as well has her mother-in-law’s savings.

She is consciously competent. This means she knows what she’s doing and that she follows the rules of the game.

With consistency the consciously competent can become very good. Maybe she can even reach the next level… 

4. Unconsciously Competent

“Have you seen that you can pay with PYPL here,” asks Naomi. 

“PYPL?” we ask in unison.

“Yes, Paypal,” she says. “I saw two other shops this weeks that accept Paypal.”

She forgets all about her food and wine and takes out her iPad to search for the company’s annual report.

“They’ve had a growth rate of 17 percent the last three years,” she says. “Pretty impressive if they can keep that up.”

She starts asking us if we have used Paypal this year. I used it for buying an online course and later for used toys for my kids.

She unfolds the napkin and begins making some notes and calculations. 

The waiter takes the plates away.

“Just leave it,” I tell him when he tries to take Naomi’s plate.

She has pushed it aside to make room for her napkin calculations, but she has barely touched her food, and she doesn’t notice the waiter. 

We get the menu and order desserts. I’m having a Tiramisu. The sugary crust is crunchy in this restaurant.

“Around 80 percent to 26,” she says. She looks really pleased.

“What?” someone asks.

“When the stock has fallen about 80 percent to around 26 dollars a share, then I will buy it,” she says.

She shovels down some food, folds up the napkin and uses it to dry her mouth. She is not going to need it because she never forgets a number. She can even remember my childhood phone number. I can’t even remember what the phone looked like. 

“So, what’s for dessert?” Naomi asks. 

She is unconsciously competent. She can’t stop using her skill. It’s become a natural part of who she is in the world, and she looks for investment opportunities whereever she is.

She’s in a state of flow when in her zone of genius.

These people are the world’s Buffetts, Messis and Ronaldos. 

How to Reach Mastery

We all want to be as competent as a Buffett, a Messi and a Ronaldo.

But how do we get there?

Well, how do you think Ronaldo and Messi became so good? By playing a lot of soccer.

And Buffett?

In soccer and sports, practice is key. In investing, knowledge is key.

When you invest like a value investor, you move in slow motion like a sloth. It’s not about the action – but about getting knowledge and practicing – and being able to do perfect action when the timing is right. 

You get to the next level of mastery by getting more knowledge. By reading more books, taking more courses and reading more news.

If you want to know more about investing, my free e-book Free Yourself is a good place to begin. You can download it here.

Why You Have to Begin Investing Now

Why You Have to Begin Investing Now

“Money loves speed,” she used to say.

She was my coach and I was contemplating which name to use for my website.

When I asked her a question, I could feel her voice go flat.

She would say:

“Just get on with it. Remember. Time is money.”

The question I would ask was. What should I chose? This name? Or that name?

Your Value Invstor? My Value Investor? The Value Investor? Richvestor? Divestor? Pinkvestor? Whatevervestor?

I spent weeks – okay, I admit it months – contemplating the name.

Millions of Decisions in Life

When you embark on a big project like launching a blog, starting a business or investing, there will be millions of decisions.

I was mulling over the very first decision I had to make. If you can’t make the first decision, how can you embark on a larger project? 

My coach had given up on me before I even began my blog.

Luckily I did not give up. I picked a name.

And not only that, I got the message that time is money. I saw how other students of hers, ran across the start line of the race whereas I was still stuck trying to pick the color of my shoe lace.

I picked up the pace and did not look back.

Get Going

Are you also postponing something you want to do? Are you postponing investing? Are you even postponing minor decisions about investing? Like picking a course to help you get started?

When I speak with people, I hear all sorts of excuses, like:

  • I have to read a lot of books first.
  • I have to sell my house first
  • I am very tired and have to wait until I am not tired
  • I have to move first
  • I have to speak with my husband first (for some reason I never hear men say they have to speak to their wives first)
  • I am busy at work
  • I have a baby
  • I have a teenager
  • I have a dog

I have heard it all. 

What’s the problem with waiting and postponing the start date? 

 1. Time is Money

 Well, first of all, like my coach said. Time is money. 

This is really true with investing. 

Compounding means that you make money on the money you already made, and that it begins to roll like a snowball over time. 

The money you don’t make today is a lot more money in the future due to compounding. 

It’s almost like an hour glass with diamonds in it.  

 2. You are Missing out on Experience

You are losing valuable time learning and compounding on your experience.

The more time you spend in the market, the more you learn. 

You can learn some things by studying them. But a lot you learn by experience and practice.

You have to learn to navigate on a platform, maybe several different ones.

You have to learn to master disciplin of the mind when waiting for a stock to drop to your margin of safety price.

These are things you have to practice. 

3. You are Not Building a Network When Waiting

They say that you are only as good as the people you surround yourself with. Do you surround yourself with other investors? 

Hopefully you take courses and attend groups, for example on social media. You can be part of them without investing, but my guess is that you only participate wholeheartedly in the discussions when you have some skin in the game yourself. 

If you want to excel as an investor, you have to get into the game and surround yourself with other good investors. 

The Runners

Then there are the ones who throw themselves into the game of investing. They let nothing stop them because they know they have to invest and take action if they want to massively improve the quality of their lives.

It’s the mother who is breastfeeding while learning to calculate owner earnings

It’s the wife who buys an investing course without asking her husband and surprises him by inviting him to join her. 

It’s the book keeper who joins an investing course even though it’s high season for annual reports. 

It’s the father of four who practices analyzing companies in the middle of lockdown.

These are the people who will do well eventually because they are determined to excel. They will do whatever it takes.    

Are you one of them? A good place to begin is with my e-book Free Yourself which you get here

How to Invest During a Crisis

How to Invest During a Crisis

It’s a dilemma. It’s one of the best times to invest, but also daunting.

Some wonderful companies are on sale on the stock market right now for less than they are really worth, and you can get a high return on your money if you invest it wisely.

However shops, restaurants, amusement parks, cinemas, malls and hotels are closed, and planes are stranded on the ground. We can expect companies to close down, even to go bankrupt. This means you could lose all your money. 

You have to be careful. You cannot afford to invest in something that will disappear.

As the famous investor Warren Buffett said:

“There are two rules in investing. Rule no. 1: Never lose money. Rule no. 2: Never forget rule no. 1.”

But how do you do that?

Here are five steps to investing during a crisis. 

1. Investigate: How affected are they really?

Is it a business that sells more or less during the crisis?

Have they closed the business down completely?

Or can they still sell some product or services online or by other methods? 

Can the consumption of their service or product be postponed?

Can the product be held in stock, and can we expect a boom in sales later because people would just postpone buying and using or consuming it?

Is the product a perishable good and cannot, for that reason, be held in stock?

Some companies will experience a short term fall in the demand of their product, but because it’s something people or companies eventually need, we can expect the demand to rise again at a later stage. Many household necessities fall under this category. 

Other companies cannot stock their product, because it’s linked to an experience or service in time. That’s the case for hotels, amusement parks, cinemas and many other types of companies in the entertainment and service industry. 

2. Think long-term  

Ask yourself: Will this company still sell their products in ten years?

Thinking long term can really help you when investing in an unusual situation like this.

There is no reason to believe that the corona virus means that people will stop drinking Coke, wearing sneakers or eating chocolate.

If you can answer yes to the question and feel confident that the company’s product will still be in the market in 10 years, you can relax a little.

3. Investigate how much debt they have  

Companies with a lot of debt have the highest risk of going bankrupt. 

You can compare it with individuals:

Let’s say you have two people who are very alike: same income, same type of house, same kind of car.

The only difference is the amount of debt. One has no debt. The other has student debt, mortgage, car loan and even expensive credit car debt.

Both lose their job and their income. Both will be unemployed for a year.

Who do you think will be able to keep up with the mortgage payment? 

It’s the same with companies. Companies with high levels of debt are most at risk in times of economic downturns. 

As Warren Buffett says: “It is only when the tide goes out that you learn who has been swimming naked.”

4. Look at the numbers

There is no getting around it. You have to find that annual report and look under the hood of the company.

If you don’t, you have no business investing in individual companies. Stick to index investing.

Up until this point, has the revenue been growing, stagnating or declining? 

Up until this point, have they made money? Has the company generated a profit? And was that profit growing, stagnating or declining?

You really do not want to invest in companies that are shrinking or who have a hole in the bucket.

Invest in companies with at lest 10 percent growth in both the top and bottom line (revenue and profit).

And yes, these numbers point to the past, and things are changing rapidly.

But if they couldn’t figure out how to grow sales and make money before the corona virus hit the economy, what are the chances that they will figure it out during or after the crisis?

5. Calculate the value

Not everything is cheap, just because the price fell.

Let’s say a banana sells for $10 on a local black market. Something happens and the price of a banana drops to $5.

That is indeed a 50 percent drop in the price. But is the banana really cheap? I mean, come on, it’s a banana. 

A lot of private investors get caught up starring at stock prices, and they forget to relate the number to the company.

They might like the product, just like they like bananas.

But they don’t really take any time to figure out if they get a box of banana for $5, if it’s just a little bag or if it’s just one, single banana.

That’s what you need to do, figure out what the company is really worth and then divide that value by the number of shares outstanding. 

It’s really important to learn how to calculate the fair value of a company before you invest in one.

Do you want to learn how to evaluate and calculate the value of a company? I teach you how to do that in my e-book Free Yourself. You can download it here. 

Three Reasons to Invest Even if You Have Debt

Three Reasons to Invest Even if You Have Debt

Should you pay off all your debt, before you begin to invest in stocks? 

This questions pops up often, and the answer depends on your situation.

If you have a lot of debt, and if it’s very expensive debt like credit card debt, then the answer is no.

Pay your debt before you begin to invest.

But if you debt is of the healthy kind with a low interest rate and if it used for building or purchasing some kind of asset – like a mortgage or a student loan- then the answer is yes.  Begin your adventure into stock investing even though you are still paying of the mortgage or student loan.

If we all waited with investing until we had paid our student debt and mortgage, then we would miss out on the stock market almost until we reached retirement age. 

Here are three simple reasons for investing before your debt is completely gone: 

Reason no. 1: Your return will be bigger than the interest

If you can make more money investing than you actually pay in interest on you debt, then you make a profit. Go for it. Invest. 

But in the opposite case, you should stay away from investing. In other words, if you are not sure that you can make more money on the investment than you pay in interest on your debt, then stay away.

Lets be specific. If you pay 3 percent interest, and if you feel confident that you can make an 8 percent return on your investments then go ahead.

But lets say that you pay 15 percent in interest and you think you can only make 4 percent in return on your stocks – then you are losing money, and you should not invest before the debt is paid off. 

How high will the return on your investments be?

That depends on how good you are at picking stocks. 

Stocks gives you an average of 7-8 percent in return if you invest in indexes (the stock index S&P 500 has given a return of almost 8 percent since 1957).

Reason no. 2: You get valuable stock market experience  

Investing is a skill that takes time to learn.

It makes sense to get into the markedet at an early age. You take advantage of compound interest which means that your return will make a return and your money will grow exponentially. So will your experience and your ability to make a good return on your investments.

You can learn some stuff from investment books, podcasts and Youtube-videos, but you really learn the most from practicing it and getting some real world experience in investing.  A combination of learning from books and courses and getting practical experience is the best combination.

If you wait until you have paid your whole mortgage down, then you loose a lot of valuable time learning.

The great news is that you will learn regardless of how much money you invest, so you can begin with a little money until you feel more confident. 

Reason no. 3: It is motivating to invest  

It is fun and fascinating to see your money grow. That is very motivating when you are trying to save money, pay off debt and manage your finances in general.

You will want to have more money, make more money and save more money once you get started on your investing journey.

I would go so far as to say that you will regret it later, if you don’t get started now. When you discover what your money could have become, you are going to wish that you had known this when you were younger.

If you want to learn how to invest like the best, I can read my ebook here.

You can begin with this check list with 12 questions you should investigate before you put your money in a company. You can download it here